Systems Thinking

strategic options

Mastering Strategic Optionality: CFOs Navigate Uncertainty 

Plans rarely survive contact with reality. As Eisenhower said, it’s planning, not the plan, that builds resilience. For CFOs, the goal isn’t predicting the future; it’s preparing the organization to navigate it. That preparation comes from exploring strategic options, building adaptable CFO strategies, and strengthening financial planning to ensure the business can adjust no matter what the future holds. 

First principles thinking.

Leading from the Front: How CFOs Use First Principles Thinking to Drive Value 

In times of change and uncertainty, the most important quality for a CFO isn’t just technical skill. It’s clarity of thought. And the best tool for clear thinking? First principles thinking. First principles problem solving means breaking problems down to their most basic truths and building solutions from scratch, not copying what others do. Instead of asking, “How have others done it?” ask, “What is absolutely true here, and what follows logically?” For CFOs, this approach helps define value creation, clarify trade-offs, navigate uncertainty, and deploy capital wisely. It is a critical component of CFO strategy and underscores the CFO’s role in strategic planning. What is first principles thinking in practice? Here’s how it works: 

financial modeling forecasting

Forecasting with GenAI: Speed and Accuracy for CFOs  

In the traditional finance playbook, forecasting has long been the heart of strategic planning. It is where the story of the enterprise unfolds in numbers. But as the pace of change accelerates and uncertainty becomes the norm, forecasting has evolved from a quarterly ritual to a real-time strategic capability. Now, with the arrival of generative intelligence, the modern CFO has a new kind of engine, one that is faster, adaptive, contextual, and narrative-ready. This is not simply automation. It is an augmentation. Generative AI does not just speed up CFO prediction cycles. It brings a structural shift in how data, models, and context come together. The promise is compelling: financial modeling forecasting that delivers a stronger financial forecast model, more accurate results, faster insights, and embedded explainability that executives and boards can act on, showcasing the true impact of AI in finance. 

adaptive leadership and change management

Adaptive Leadership in Finance: The Rise of the Agile CFO in Complex Organizations 

My interest in complexity theory began in earnest after reading Geoffrey West’s Scale, a book that profoundly altered how I view not only biological systems but also the scaling of human enterprises. West’s insights into the mathematical patterns underlying growth, sustainability, and decline resonated with my three decades of finance leadership in Silicon Valley, where organizations are in perpetual states of flux, scaling up or reinventing themselves in cycles that mirror adaptive systems more than static hierarchies. Since then, I have followed the pioneering work at the Santa Fe Institute with great interest, finding in their research a rigorous framework that helps explain why firms that appear dominant one decade may falter in the next if they fail to evolve.  

ERP return on investment

The Hidden ROI in ERP: Smarter Tech Decisions 

I have been actively involved in implementing systems across different organizations for much of my career, and my experiences range from rewarding successes to sobering disappointments. Over the years, I have worked with platforms such as NetSuite, Sage, extensions to Everest and Warehouse Management Systems, BaaN, Oracle Financials, and JD Edwards. In some cases, the projects came together well, producing the efficiency, visibility, and positive ERP ROI we had envisioned. In other cases, they fell short of expectations, sometimes quite dramatically. I must acknowledge that in certain situations, the fault lay with me.